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Spectrum

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Definition: Spectrum summarizes the periodicity properties of a time series or time series sample xt. Often represented in a graph with frequency, or period, (often denoted little omega) on the horizontal axis, and Sx(omega), which is defined below, on the vertical axis. Sx is zero for frequencies that are not found in the time series or sample, and is increasingly positive for frequencies that are more important in the data.

Sx(omega) = (2pi)-1(sum for j from -infinity to +infinity of) gammaje-ijomega

where gammaj is the jth autocovariance, omega is in the range [-pi, pi], and i is the square root of -1.

Example 1: If xt is white noise, the spectrum is flat. All cycles are equally important. If they were not, the series would be forecastable.

Example 2: If xt is an AR(1) process, with coefficient in (0, 1), the spectrum has a peak at frequency zero and declines monotonically with distance from zero. This process does not have an observable cycle.

(Econterms)

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