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Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: October 2004

Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: October 2004

From The Federal Reserve, for About.com

This release has been edited for length. The original can be found at The Federal Reserve.

Industrial production rose 0.7 percent in October after having edged up 0.1 percent in September. At 117.6 percent of its 1997 average, the October index was 5.2 percent higher than its year-ago level. Manufacturing output increased 0.7 percent in October, and output gains were broadly based across industries. The indexes for mining and utilities also climbed 0.7 percent. Part of the increase in production appears to reflect a partial bounceback from the restraining effects of the recent hurricanes, although the exact magnitude of the contribution is difficult to estimate. The rate of capacity utilization for total industry rose 0.4 percentage point, to 77.7 percent, a level 3.4 percentage points below its 1972-2003 average.

The statistics in this release cover output, capacity, and capacity utilization in the industrial sector, which the Federal Reserve defines as manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities. Manufacturing comprises those industries included in the North American Industry Classification System, or NAICS, manufacturing plus the logging and newspaper, periodical, book and directory publishing industries that have traditionally been considered manufacturing and included in the industrial sector.

Market Groups

The output of consumer goods increased 0.6 percent in October. The index for durable consumer goods rose 1.6 percent, thereby reversing most of the previous month's decline. Gains were posted in all major categories, most notably home electronics and automotive products. The output of consumer non-energy nondurables edged up for the second consecutive month after more rapid gains in July and August. Increases for paper products and for foods and tobacco more than offset small declines in clothing and in chemical products. The production of consumer energy products rose 1 percent.

The index for business equipment increased 0.5 percent in October. The production indexes for transit equipment, information processing equipment, and industrial and other equipment all moved up for the second consecutive month. The production of defense and space equipment edged down but remained 5.2 percent above its year-ago level. The output of construction supplies moved up 1 percent, and the output of business supplies climbed 0.6 percent. Materials output rose 0.9 percent in October, a move that reflected increases in most major categories.

Industry Groups

The rise of 0.7 percent in manufacturing output in October resulted from a 1.0 percent increase in durables, a 0.4 percent increase in nondurables, and a 0.6 percent increase in non-NAICS manufacturing (logging and publishing). Among durables, the production of motor vehicles and parts gained 2.3 percent, and the output indexes for most other major industries moved up substantially; machinery output increased just slightly, and only the index for electrical equipment, appliances, and components edged down. Among nondurables, the largest gains were in petroleum refining and in plastics and rubber products. Nondurable industries that also registered substantial output gains included textile and product mills and paper. The production of apparel and leather goods was unchanged, and the index for printing and support declined. The overall factory operating rate climbed 0.4 percentage point, to 76.8 percent, a level 3.2 percentage points below its 1972-2003 average.

The increase of 0.7 percent in output at utilities in October was due entirely to higher output at electric utilities; output at natural gas utilities declined for a second consecutive month. Among the mining categories, natural gas extraction reversed about one-half of its September decline, while total crude oil extraction edged down further.

Capacity utilization for industries in the crude stage of processing increased 0.7 percentage point, to 83.5 percent. The utilization rate for industries in the primary and semifinished stages increased 0.5 percentage point, to 79.7 percent, and the utilization rate for finished goods producers increased 0.4 percentage point, to 74.6 percent.

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