Expectation
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Definition of Expectation:
There are several, overlapping definitions:
- The mean of a probability distribution. If the probability distribution
function is F(x) then the mean would be calculated by integrating dF(x) over
the domain of the probability distribution function. The expectation
operator, E[], is a linear operator per Hogg and Craig,
1995, page 55.
- In a model, the agents may have to anticipate the value of variables whose
realizations may occur in the future. The values they anticipate are often
called their expectations. The agents may generalize only from past
realizations in a way that we can call "adaptive expectations" or
they may have other information from which they hypothesize a distribution
from which the realization will be drawn. From such a distribution they can
calculate the mean value, and variance, and so forth. This process is one of
"rational expectations.".
(Econterms)
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