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By Mike Moffatt, About.com Guide to Economics since 2002

Air Pollution Externalities and Crime

Thursday May 15, 2008
Felix Salmon - How Unleaded Gasoline Slashed the Violent Crime Rate:
...The main result of the paper is that changes in childhood lead exposure are responsible for a 56% drop in violent crime in the 1990s.

What are those "changes in childhood lead exposure"? Primarily the move to unleaded gasoline, which happened in the US between 1975 and 1985.
That is a pretty striking result. I am not sure if I entirely believe the 56% number, but I cannot see anything wrong with the methodology.

Even if the true figure is half of that finding, it is a remarkable result. Two questions for the Coase-lovers out there?
  1. Is it not possible that air pollution imposes serious externalities on some people, such as those with asthma?


  2. If air pollution can and does impose serious externalities on some people, should the Coase theorem not have taken care of this problem? Why was government intervention necessary here?
There are good arguments on why using Pigovian taxes to combat air pollution may be ineffective - my facebook friend Garth Brazelton has given several. But any economist who points to the tautological and ridiculous Coase Theorem as a way of dealing with wide-scale pollution problems needs to spend a little more time in the real world. It did me a world of good.

Comments

May 15, 2008 at 4:53 pm
(1) EclectEcon says:

After having been baited several times, I’ll bite this time. Rather, I’ll nibble.

The Coase Theorem holds ONLY if transaction costs are low or zero. They clearly are not in the case of air pollution.

May 15, 2008 at 8:55 pm
(2) Wilson Mixon says:

I’ll not comment on your unconvincing slap at the Coase theorem.

This paper suggests something else: post-lead children should be smarter.

My students are not much amused when I threaten them with harder exams because I know that they, being post-lead, are smarter than my generation.

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